What's a day today - Ichimoku chiffre cycle naturel 42 et 65 pour le spyder sp500 index ETF
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SP500ouverture d espritSPOT 2821.75
SP500 active contract WEEKLY chart is not confirming (yet) the Daily chart improvement.
The massive BC weekly rebound in term of timing is still under the bear influence of the AB bear weekly wave with a Kinkohyo bear oriented.
Time to be open minded with various potential D interim or final printing to be seen between end of May to Mid June.
Be ready for a volatile market that will test your capacity to manage your portfolio risk as well as your emotions?
1) AC Ichimoku number 76-1 / Medium term - since 2018, the market is just volatile with no trend (megaphone) and is showing 2 potential D intermediate printing for last week of May to finalize a S 2852.88 or Y 1887 fluctuation ? Orange power lines
2)A fresh short term bear weekly fluctuation has been validated with a potential best case intermediate D print matching the N target 1752.75 for first week of June? This bear fluctuation would be invalidated in case the price go back above 2965. Red power line.
3)The market is still under a long lasting weekly bull fluctuation dated from 2016 that will mature Mid June with 4 green power lines showing you support and resistances as well as 4 potential final destinations to print the D:
V 2402.25 - NT 2639.5 -N 2946.25 - E 3253?
SP500 active contract WEEKLY chart is not confirming (yet) the Daily chart improvement.
The massive BC weekly rebound in term of timing is still under the bear influence of the AB bear weekly wave with a Kinkohyo bear oriented.
Time to be open minded with various potential D interim or final printing to be seen between end of May to Mid June.
Be ready for a volatile market that will test your capacity to manage your portfolio risk as well as your emotions?
1) AC Ichimoku number 76-1 / Medium term - since 2018, the market is just volatile with no trend (megaphone) and is showing 2 potential D intermediate printing for last week of May to finalize a S 2852.88 or Y 1887 fluctuation ? Orange power lines
2)A fresh short term bear weekly fluctuation has been validated with a potential best case intermediate D print matching the N target 1752.75 for first week of June? This bear fluctuation would be invalidated in case the price go back above 2965. Red power line.
3)The market is still under a long lasting weekly bull fluctuation dated from 2016 that will mature Mid June with 4 green power lines showing you support and resistances as well as 4 potential final destinations to print the D:
V 2402.25 - NT 2639.5 -N 2946.25 - E 3253?
Un chart en date d hier sur le Nasdaq 100 contract
Who is the boss?
The boss is not Bruce but so far the Nasdaq 100 index …. However do not forget the past wrong guidance of the Nasdaq 100 contract - especially the one seen through the 2015 – 2016 period?
US market is entering today and tomorrow the ichimoku natural cycle numbers 42 and 51 that could impact the bull market trend- healthy transition period would be welcomed?
2 battles won for the Nasdaq 100 contract:
The BC massive rebound or rally is no more under the bad influence of the Covid 19 AB bear wave.
The price was able to break up the daily neutral Ichimoku range.
Are we out of the woods?
Not really –do you remember the 2015–2016 market?
After a sharp quick decline, the Nasdaq 100 contract was even able to print a new historical high quikly followed (few weeks later) by a lower low.
V shaped recovery could also create inverse V shaped pullback?
But first enjoy more upside?
A bull daily fluctuation is opened until May 7th with potential higher targets NT-N-V -E green area
This bull fluctuation would be invalidated in case the price will come back lower than 8342
OR
Time for a rest?
A second way to use the 2015-2016 period is to present you a potential 26 daily rebound (cycle Ki) analogy?
Addionally 42 and 51 are knocking at the door.
Who is the boss?
The boss is not Bruce but so far the Nasdaq 100 index …. However do not forget the past wrong guidance of the Nasdaq 100 contract - especially the one seen through the 2015 – 2016 period?
US market is entering today and tomorrow the ichimoku natural cycle numbers 42 and 51 that could impact the bull market trend- healthy transition period would be welcomed?
2 battles won for the Nasdaq 100 contract:
The BC massive rebound or rally is no more under the bad influence of the Covid 19 AB bear wave.
The price was able to break up the daily neutral Ichimoku range.
Are we out of the woods?
Not really –do you remember the 2015–2016 market?
After a sharp quick decline, the Nasdaq 100 contract was even able to print a new historical high quikly followed (few weeks later) by a lower low.
V shaped recovery could also create inverse V shaped pullback?
But first enjoy more upside?
A bull daily fluctuation is opened until May 7th with potential higher targets NT-N-V -E green area
This bull fluctuation would be invalidated in case the price will come back lower than 8342
OR
Time for a rest?
A second way to use the 2015-2016 period is to present you a potential 26 daily rebound (cycle Ki) analogy?
Addionally 42 and 51 are knocking at the door.
SP500 index 2015 - 26 cycle Ki rebound + 1 day (still ok) analogy versus the March low in term of timing only and not in term of price.
As of tonight fascinating but tomorrow will be another day...
As of tonight fascinating but tomorrow will be another day...
First key battle won by Bull Investor in term of Ichimoku Timing for the SP500 contract whereas not yet confirmed by the Nasdaq 100 contract.
Bulls have been able to print a new high after April 24th.
The current BC bull rebound wave is no more under the bad influence of the AB bear Covid 19 wave.
This event does not mean I will enter long the market immediately neither I will stop shorting or hedging the market if needed.
It means I will monitor any pullback much more as an opportunity to enter long the market for a swing trade than keep the short or hedge (transition period - wave 2) for more downside.
The price may trade going forward much more between the middle (2620 –2635) and the top of the daily neutral range (3066 – 70) than going back to the low of the range (2174- 2200)?
It may be a first positive signal to exclude a potential retest of the low set up at 2194? (Wbottom)
However with the Ichimoku, we will navigate the risk reward day by day.
Do not forget that the daily Sp500 contract chart will remain neutral
rated as long as the price will not be able to breach up the daily mega large range with the upper band set up at 3066-3070.
The 2009 V shaped recovery analogy will gain in force only if the price will be able to breach up this daily neutral range.
Amazingly the Nasdaq 100 mini future contract is just closed to the upper band of its own daily mega large neutral range.
Much more in advance compared to the Sp500 active mini future contract that may have room to push from current price set up at 2900 to the 3066-70 level?
This rebound of the Nasdaq 100 contract is amazingly high but still under the negative bear influence of the AB Covid 19 wave… whereas the SP 500 contract is liberated.
Moment of truth this week for the Nasdaq 100 contract?
And indirectly for the overall US equity market?
Bulls have been able to print a new high after April 24th.
The current BC bull rebound wave is no more under the bad influence of the AB bear Covid 19 wave.
This event does not mean I will enter long the market immediately neither I will stop shorting or hedging the market if needed.
It means I will monitor any pullback much more as an opportunity to enter long the market for a swing trade than keep the short or hedge (transition period - wave 2) for more downside.
The price may trade going forward much more between the middle (2620 –2635) and the top of the daily neutral range (3066 – 70) than going back to the low of the range (2174- 2200)?
It may be a first positive signal to exclude a potential retest of the low set up at 2194? (Wbottom)
However with the Ichimoku, we will navigate the risk reward day by day.
Do not forget that the daily Sp500 contract chart will remain neutral
rated as long as the price will not be able to breach up the daily mega large range with the upper band set up at 3066-3070.
The 2009 V shaped recovery analogy will gain in force only if the price will be able to breach up this daily neutral range.
Amazingly the Nasdaq 100 mini future contract is just closed to the upper band of its own daily mega large neutral range.
Much more in advance compared to the Sp500 active mini future contract that may have room to push from current price set up at 2900 to the 3066-70 level?
This rebound of the Nasdaq 100 contract is amazingly high but still under the negative bear influence of the AB Covid 19 wave… whereas the SP 500 contract is liberated.
Moment of truth this week for the Nasdaq 100 contract?
And indirectly for the overall US equity market?
SP500 min future contract update:
To maintain my current short bias, the market will have to stay unconditionally below the C level after April 24th.
So far at 2885 - let 's see what will be the closing today.
A new line in the sand for bear investor to keep the bull under control and push market lower?
Until then, the rebound even if was up more than 30% (BAD INFLUENCE BUT DAMN FUN) is a counter trend bear rally and not yet a V shaped recovery.
Until then, my current trading bias remain short oriented.
To maintain my current short bias, the market will have to stay unconditionally below the C level after April 24th.
So far at 2885 - let 's see what will be the closing today.
A new line in the sand for bear investor to keep the bull under control and push market lower?
Until then, the rebound even if was up more than 30% (BAD INFLUENCE BUT DAMN FUN) is a counter trend bear rally and not yet a V shaped recovery.
Until then, my current trading bias remain short oriented.
Pour faire suite à vos derniers échanges sur le gold , comment imager le tout?
Erratic dance mouvement dans un box orange avec une première tentative avortée de s'en échapper ? (pour l instant)
Dance Ichimoku dance!
Dans la banque pour laquelle je travaille, la vue macro est fully bull avec un premier target à 1920... Cette vue bull est partagée par la majorité des institutionnels.
Erratic dance mouvement dans un box orange avec une première tentative avortée de s'en échapper ? (pour l instant)
Dance Ichimoku dance!
Dans la banque pour laquelle je travaille, la vue macro est fully bull avec un premier target à 1920... Cette vue bull est partagée par la majorité des institutionnels.
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les enseignements de HosodaSp500 active mini future contrat
Une image vaut mieux que 100 mots.
Tout est une question de temps avec des dates précises en ichimoku tête?
Tout comme identifier des ranges invisibles pour les ichimoku agnostiques?
Une image vaut mieux que 100 mots.
Tout est une question de temps avec des dates précises en ichimoku tête?
Tout comme identifier des ranges invisibles pour les ichimoku agnostiques?
Quick Post
les enseignements de HosodaUne illusration rapide de l importance du temps dans l analyse ichimoku academy 2
En Anglais car posté ce matin sur linkedin en espérant que pas un soucis pour la communauté freetori?
Did you know that the high done on Amazon is still under the bear influcence of the wave AB in orange?
The current CD black bull wave will earn in credibility only if Amazon will be able to print a new high after April 20th? Time AB = BC April 17 or + 1 April 20th
But there is no question that, until it does so, the rebound even if up more than 51.35% or has printed a new historical high is not considered yet sustainable as could activate a final S or Y ichimoku final fluctuation?
amzn# amazon#
En Anglais car posté ce matin sur linkedin en espérant que pas un soucis pour la communauté freetori?
Did you know that the high done on Amazon is still under the bear influcence of the wave AB in orange?
The current CD black bull wave will earn in credibility only if Amazon will be able to print a new high after April 20th? Time AB = BC April 17 or + 1 April 20th
But there is no question that, until it does so, the rebound even if up more than 51.35% or has printed a new historical high is not considered yet sustainable as could activate a final S or Y ichimoku final fluctuation?
amzn# amazon#
